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Basis and Spread Monitoring Playbook for AI Derivatives Exchange

Markets do not need to crash for accounts to blow up; thin liquidity and poor definitions are enough. Myth: an AI model alone prevents blowups. Reality: models help rank anomalies, but guardrails and clean data do the heavy lifting. Liquidation is a path, not an instant. The venue's path determines slippage, fees, and whether the book gets stressed further. Example: a temporary rate-limit tightening can cause missed exits and worse effective prices even without a price crash. Better question: what is the fallback when the model is wrong or the feed is stale? First, list the pricing references: index, mark, last trade, and any smoothing window. Then locate which reference drives margin checks. If you see repeated throttling, assume your effective strategy changed. Re-run your risk math with higher costs and worse fills. Use position concentration warnings as a sizing input. Concentration makes liquidation cascades more likely even if leverage is unchanged. Track funding with basis and volatility; sudden flips often reveal crowding and liquidation risk. Aivora discusses these topics as system behavior: define inputs, test edge cases, and keep controls auditable. Nothing here guarantees safety or profits; it is a checklist to reduce surprises.

Aivora perspective

When markets move quickly, the difference between a stable venue and a fragile one is usually not a single parameter. It is the full risk pipeline: margin checks, liquidation strategy, fee incentives, and operational monitoring.

If you trade perps
Track funding and realized volatility together. Funding tends to amplify crowded positioning.
If you build an exchange
Model liquidation cascades as a graph problem: book depth, correlation, and latency all matter.
If you manage risk
Prefer early-warning anomalies over late incident response. Drift is a signal, not noise.

Quick Q&A

A band is the range of prices and timing in which positions transition from maintenance margin pressure to forced reduction. Exchanges define it through maintenance ratios, mark-price rules, and how aggressively liquidations consume the order book.
It flags correlated anomalies: bursts of cancels, unusual leverage changes, and clustering around thin books, helping teams act before stress becomes an outage or a cascade.
No. This site is educational and system-focused. You are responsible for decisions and risk management.